2009/2/20

Swing analysis of Anthony Kim





1. Okay, today, we will do a“real”swing analysis of Anthony Kim's swing.Now, this young man gas a great swing and might start taking over PGA Tour with multiple wins.
2. At takeaway, Anthony is a little too much inside. (This is what the“traditional”golf teachers teach you. But don't be fooled, the follow-through will prove that Anothony“came back”to the right plane to hit the ball, which almost every pro tour golfer does)
3. At half-way, Anthony is still way too inside but that's okay as it will get from here on.
4. At top os his swing, you can see how well his hands, and clubface are in-plane. (The four diagonal lines represent the true plane of the golf swing)
5. At downswing, Anthony is slightly inside the plane, which is perfectly acceptable.
6. At impact, notice how his left arms is straight and right arms slightly bent like at address.
7. Now what impresses me about Anthony Kim's swing is not his takeaway or backswing but right after impact.
As you can see, his clubface is almost dead-on or slightly outside the plane. This movement is actually the best move. (Players like Ben Hogan and Tiger Woods do this)
8.After impact, it gets even better as Anthony's club stays on-plane.
9.At finish, check out how controlled his right foot is, it's barely coming up.
What can you learn from Anthony Kim's swing?
There are many ways to swing the club. Try to focus on getting that club on-plane at the top of your swing and after impact.
Even most tour pros have completely different opinions on how to swing on-plane but their after impact positions will be the same.
Here's Anthony Kim's swing in slow-motion (SWING VISION):
Swing isn't everything but does help.
Here's a good video of Anthony Kim's swing. From what I can tell as a pro golfer, Anthony Kim comes the closes to mimicking Tiger’s followthrough. Well, I think it's actually better than Tiger's as Anthony doesn't lift off his left foot like Tiger used to do at his age.
Anthony Kim Driver Slo Mo Verizon Heritage http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8finF6n64Qg
This young man has a great future ahead of him. I won’t be surprised if he keeps winning more tournaments this year.
Hurray, go Anthony! :)

Anthony Kim



NAME / Anthony Kim
AGE / 22
HOME / Dallas Los Angeles, California, USA
Born June 19, 1985 (1985-06-19) (age 23)
Height 5 ft 10 in (1.78 m)
Nationality United States Residence Dallas, Texas, USA

Career
Turned professional 2006
Current tour(s) PGA Tour
Professional wins 2
Number of wins by tour
PGA Tour 2

Best results in Major Championships
The Masters DNP U.S. Open T20 (2007)
Open Championship T7 (2008)
PGA Championship T50 (2007)

When Tiger Woods first laid eyes on Anthony Kim's belt buckle, he feigned disgust. "What is that?" Woods asked, gesturing to the large initials.
"Well, Nike hasn't put my initials on anything yet," Kim shot back, evoking a smile from Tiger.
Kim might have been joking, but no doubt only in part. He expects to be No. 1 in the world, which he will reiterate to anyone who asks, and he wasn't about to take grief, even from Tiger.
Kim, the youngest golfer on the PGA Tour, has confidence in a supply that is equal to his skill, which is substantial. He tied for second in his PGA Tour debut last fall, at the Valero Texas Open in San Antonio, and earned $1.1 million in the first five months of 2007.
"That was awesome," Anthony says. "If you're 16 and had the house to yourself all the time, you'd be in heaven, too."
His parents also bought him a membership to PGA West's four private courses.
"The best possible move he could ever have made," says Kevin Scheller, his friend and coach, noting PGA West's many playing and practice options.
Kim was the best prep golfer in Southern California as a sophomore at La Quinta High and later was a three-time All-American at Oklahoma. Success helped his confidence, but failure also was a contributing factor. He wanted to be a three-sport professional athlete, before realizing his size, now 5-10 and 160, was an impediment to NBA and NFL careers.
"I was always the smallest one playing basketball," he says, "but I felt like, if I had the right attitude, I could win, or I could guard a guy who's five or six inches taller and it wouldn't be a big deal."

2009/2/18

Life's traffic signal


人生就像那紅綠人燈,一會兒紅,一會兒綠。紅的時候就沒法動,動了就會出交通事故;綠的時候呢,就一路暢通無阻。"
"有時你遠遠看著那燈是綠的,等車子加速到了跟前,卻可能突然轉紅了。有時遠看是紅的,到了跟前就變綠了。有的車到每個路口都可能是綠燈變紅燈,有的車到每個路口都是紅燈變綠燈。可是,他們最終都同樣離開了這裡,朝著目的地去了。
有了這紅綠的變換,人生的步伐才有快慢調整、人生的景色才有五彩斑斕。為什麼要為一次紅燈而焦慮不安,或為一次綠燈而興奮不已呢?"
原來自己一直在人生的路口撞著紅燈;其實綠燈總會閃起,遠方依然在召喚。
成功的時候,不要忘記人生還有紅燈;失敗的時候,不要忘記前邊可能就是綠燈。

2009/2/17

入不敷支駭人


美國會就刺激經濟和挽救銀行業開出的藥方,相信必感頭昏腦脹,對2萬億、8380億、7890億等不斷更新的數字,恐怕已麻木。
救市規模不管多大,一旦觸動不同「持份者」(stakeholders)的利益,便會衍生出諸如減稅 VS 增加公共開支、納稅人 VS 私人投資者、甲銀行 VS 乙銀行等連串博弈。由於不同界別之間利益相沖相剋,救市效力大打折扣,不在話下。
對香港投資者來說,美國國會議員在什麼項目上達成妥協、誰為此作出犧牲,大可不理,重要的是看大picture。
正當人人在斟酌參眾兩院於哪些開支和稅收細節上拆掂數、刺激經濟有效無效時,一項不為人注意、卻最能說明美國當前處境的統計。看了這個數字,日後投資部署應當心裏有數。


統計由美國財政部於周三公布,關乎聯邦政府財政收入和開支。很悶?從圖一可見,美國政府收入(revenues)已連續九個月出現年比萎縮,跌勢之長僅次於2001年「九一一」與經濟衰退同時出現的那一年。這有何大不了?不要忘記,奧巴馬的刺激經濟方案號稱「新新政」(The New New Deal),是羅斯福總統在大蕭條期間推出救市措施以來,規模最龐大的振興經濟計劃。「新新政」剛在國會過關,方案內各個項目涉及的巨額開支尚未動用一分一毫,美國政府收入已差成這個樣子;刺激經濟措施逐步落實後,入不敷支有多嚴重,不言而喻。
再看統計的另一面——政府開支(spending),情況就更加駭人了。如上所說,美國政府收入跌勢之長乃七年之最,但開支增長之快,更是前所未見。圖二顯示,聯邦政府開支去年第四季較07年同期增逾30%,其中12月份的年比升幅更達45%!
讓我再說一次,美國救市計劃尚未動用分毫;振興經濟工程陸續上馬後,政府開支將膨脹至什麼程度,有數得計。
救市措施的效用,就如挽救銀行方案(TARP 1.0、2.0、3.0?)一樣,發揮需時;有用無用,此刻難以說準。可以肯定的是,美國政府收入持續惡化(加不加稅是以後的事,眼前絕不可能),支出卻衝上雲霄,財赤飛升無可避免。
從投資者的眼光來看,美國財政一塌胡塗,有什麼大picture可見?
一、全世界都在「祈求」通脹重臨,正好反映這種主流觀點。君不見,澳洲、紐西蘭、南非過去二周相繼減息甚至劈息,澳紐元和南非蘭特滙價不跌反升;歐洲央行維持利率不變,歐羅卻反而受壓?市場反應說明,愈快谷起經濟、通脹愈快重臨的國家,其貨幣便愈多人追捧。
可是,美國眼下要清理的債務和過剩產能,恐怕遠超政府通過赤字財政製造出來的額外需求;要令通脹在實體經濟中出現,並非一些人想像般容易。關於這一點,日本的情況足以說明一切。圖三顯示日本泡沫經濟爆破後,政府不斷增加公共開支,1989年至今,官方債務佔GDP比率從 68.5%急升至186%。然而,日本時至今日仍未擺脫通縮,以致該國十年期長債孳息從1990年8.2厘高位,一直下跌至目前約1.3厘水平【圖四】。
美國不是日本由此可見,赤字財政不一定會帶來通脹,這正是今日美國債市投資者在通縮與通脹之間不斷調整思維、舉棋不定的重要原因。
美國國債不宜沾手。第一,日本「迷失十年」(如今已接近二十年)是該國自己的事,世界經濟期間欣欣向榮,只有大和民族斯人獨憔悴;第二,日本從出口賺進大量外滙,貿盈和國民儲蓄非其他國家可比。美國貿易卻長期「入超」(赤字)、國民並無儲蓄習慣(現在可能要改變)。換句話說,美國要像日本那樣「捱時間」,即使有心亦無力。花旗國唯一可以做的是不斷發債印鈔,利用外資對美元的「信心」(花旗死萬國皆死),繼續替美國的赤字財政融資。
這中間牽涉外資尤其中國政府跟美國的博弈,局局皆險,與日債「不出國門」完全是兩回事。日本過去二十年的例子有參考價值,但必須記住的是:美國不是日本!
歐洲預測研究機構LEAP/E2020响2007年初預測美國銀行業及消費者將失去償債能力;响2008年初預測美國將有1萬億美元價值的資產喺危機中消失;依家預測全球系統性風險正逐步展開,引發一次全球連鎖破產期。該機構並認為,通過減息及無止境增加貨幣供應,並唔能夠解決問題,因為關鍵在償付能力上,而非流動性嘅問題。即係話唔少家庭、企業及銀行已失去償付能力,因資產價值已失去高達3萬億美元市值,呢個黑洞唔係由政府印鈔便可填補。擔心全球破產潮將此起彼落!
如果你缺乏流動資金,銀行可借錢畀你度過危機,此乃流動性問題。如你嘅生產活動已停止產生盈利,咁銀行再借錢畀你,亦只會令你更泥足深陷。去年經濟面對問題係後者而非前者,但政府及企業家們都在自欺欺人話,只係流動性問題並大印鈔票。2009年對呢個謊言再無法講落去,破產潮成為主流。

二百五十三年前《原富論》作者阿當.史密斯嘅理論:屋本身係毫無價值嘅,其價值產生係取決於租金多少。因此,喺山頂嘅豪宅可值2億港元;喺新界缺乏交通工具地方嘅村屋可以被荒廢,一錢不值。
1981 年,月租2萬元一千呎嘅住宅市值110萬元,因為當年最優惠貸款利率22厘;到今天,同樣住宅單位月租亦只有25000元,但住宅市值已升至400幾萬元。點解二十八年內租金只上升25%,而樓價卻上升445%?皆因利率喺過去二十八年大幅回落。如果冇利率回落嘅因素,1981年市值110萬元嘅住宅今天市值將低於137萬元(因折舊因素)。1981至2008年上半年,本港樓價升幅中約有420%來自信貸膨脹,可惜呢個因素由2008年下半年起告一段落。當存款利率降至0.25厘後,未來仲有幾多減息空間(港元利率已降至0.01厘):去年下半年起樓價開始回落,主因係開始抵銷未來利率上升嘅因素。因此,長遠而言,地產股已失去投資價值。
Get Wise, Get Wealthy and Get On With your Life.
一、投資前必須評估風險,唔好讓虧損擴大至總投資20%以上。
二、應貪則貪,但不可貪勝不知輸。不要過分憂心,因天並冇塌下來。
日本過去嘅零利率政策,並不能阻止日本樓價重返1975年水平及日經平均指數出現十九年熊市。請唔好再相信減息可令股樓上升;一旦趨勢形成,便唔易改變。

2009/2/16

"Seven Pounds" 明白施比授更為有福的道理

Anyone who tells you they were able to figure out "Seven Pounds" at the beginning of the movie is lying. It has some twists and turns that are sure to surprise even the most seasoned movie-goer.
The film opens up with Ben Thomas (Will Smith) on the phone to 911. He is in a state of high anxiety, and at this point we don't know where we are in the film as far as the plot (Is it a flashback? Is it taking place in real time, with the entire film's story to follow?).
From there cut to him at his beach house - again, not a happy guy. He's on the phone to someone by the name of Ezra Turner (Woody Harrelson), a customer service rep at a meat company. Turns out Ezra is blind, and after a bit of semi-uncomfortable humor Ben really starts to rip into Ezra in a pretty despicable way. Ezra maintains himself and never sinks to Ben's level, finally hanging up politely.
From there Ben goes on to see a number of people including a young boy with cancer, Emily Posa (Rosario Dawson) who has congenital hear failure, and a couple of other people. He works for the IRS and it's weird to see him be so friendly with a smile on his face as he sits down to tell people they're being audited.
There are many flashbacks in the film and in one of them we see that he was not always an IRS agent, but ran an aerospace engineering firm. How he got from there to his present position is one of the mysteries in the film.
Seven Pounds is all about the relationships between Ben and these people, especially Emily. Now it will depend on your outlook as to whether this is an emotionally powerful film or sappy and manipulative. The problem with this movie regardless of which of those points of view you ascribe to is that it’s just too damned long. It clocks in at two hours and the whole point of the film is the mystery, the reveal and the denoument. The thing is if you have half a brain you'll figure out the “what he's doing” part of the mystery VERY early on - and from there it will seem like it's being dragged out for who the director must assume are the less bright members of the audience.

With all that being said, is "Seven Pounds" a good movie? I think so. I'm afraid it's not a good enough movie to earn Will Smith the Oscar that he seems to so desperately desire, but it's a good movie nonetheless. Maybe not the most cheerful movie you will see in 2008 (or early 2009) and given the time of year that it's hitting the theatres, it probably won't be the festive movie that will bring joy to the world during the holiday season. But it's a good movie nonetheless. It's a movie about fate, about respectable people who deserve a break in life and about someone who is willing to help these people get that break.
"Seven Pounds" is one of those movies that will probably be better on a second viewing. It's good to watch it once without really knowing a lot about the story and then watching it again with a full understaning of what is happening. It is a movie that is sure to touch your soul and make you think of your place on this earth, about fate and about the situation of others. It may bring a tear to your eye but at the same time put a smile on your face. Overall, "Seven Pounds" is a very solid movie. It's kind of hard to believe that this is the same man who played "Hancock" and "The Fresh Prince of Bel Air". One day that Oscar will come Mr. Smith. One day.

2009/2/15

四個有智慧的事業問題


問題一:你相信每個人隨便都可以成功立業嗎?
回答:當然不會相信。
但據觀察,有人總是在聽完成功人士絞盡腦汁的建議,比如說,多讀書,多練習之後,問了另一個問題?那不是很難?我們都想在3分鐘內學好英文,在5分鐘內解決所有難題,難道成功是那麼容易的嗎?改變當然是難的。成功只因不怕困難,所以才能出類拔萃。有一次坐在計程車上,聽見司機看到自己前後都是高檔車,兀自感嘆:「唉,為什麼別人那麼有錢,我的錢這麼難賺?”」我心血來潮,問:「你認為世上有什麼錢是好賺的?」他答不出來,過了半晌才說:「好像都是別人的錢比較好賺。」其實任何一個成功者都是艱辛取得。我們實在不該抱怨命運。
做人,要依靠自己!
問題二:你認為完全沒有打過籃球的人,可以當很好的籃球教練嗎?
回答:當然不可能,外行不可能領導內行。
可是,有許多人,對某個行業完全不瞭解,只聽到那個行業好,就馬上開起業來了。我看過對穿著沒有任何品味、或根本不在乎穿著的人,夢想卻是開間服裝店;不知道電腦怎麼開機的人,卻想在網上發財,結果道聽途說,卻不反省自己是否專業能力不足,只抱怨時不我與。
做人,要量力而行。
問題三:相似但不相同的問題:你是否認為,籃球教練不上籃球場,閉著眼睛也可以主導一場完美的勝利?
回答:有病啊,當然是不可能的。
可是卻有不少朋友,自己沒有時間打理,卻拼命投資去開咖啡館,開餐廳,開自己根本不懂的公司,火燒屁股一樣急著把辛苦積攢的積蓄花掉,去當一個糊裏糊塗的投資人。吃虧的總是比賺的多,卻覺得自己是因為運氣不好,而不是想法出了問題。
做人,記得反省自己。
問題四:你寧可永遠後悔,也不願意試一試自己能否轉敗為勝?
解答:恐怕沒有人會說:「對,我就是這樣不行的!」吧?
然而,我們卻常常在不該打退堂鼓時拼命打退堂鼓,為了恐懼失敗而不敢嘗試成功。以關穎珊贏得 2000年世界花樣滑冰冠軍時的精彩表現為例:她一心想贏得第一名,然而在最後一場比賽前,她的總積分隻排名第三位,在最後的自選曲項目上,她選擇了突破,而不是少出錯。在 4分鐘的長曲中,結合了最高難度的三周跳,並且還大膽地連跳了兩次。她也可能會敗得很難看,但是她畢竟成功了。她說:「因為我不想等到失敗,才後悔自己還有潛力沒發揮。」一個中國偉人曾說;勝利的希望和有利情況的恢複,往往產生於再堅持一下的努力之中。」
做人,何妨放手一搏。
問題五:你的時間無限,長生不老,所以最想做的事,可以無限延期?
回答:不,傻瓜才會這樣認為。
然而我們卻常說,等我老了,要去環遊世界;等我退休,就要去做想做的事情;等孩子長大了,我就可以去當志工…… 我們都以為自己有無限的時間與精力。其實我們可以一步一步實現理想,不必在等待中徒耗生命。如果現在就能一步一步努力接近,我們就不會活了半生,卻出現自己最不想看到的結局。
做人,要活在當下。